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I’ve mentioned it before, but I’d like to address it again as it impacted our Season Record. I cannot stress enough how important it is to get the best of a number. We took an L last week as Penn State only beat Iowa by 6, failing to cover the 6.5 spread highlighted in last week’s column. BUT if you’re a pro like me, you got this game at a 5-point spread and made some money. Two games this week stress the importance of getting the best number. So let’s do this thing and continue cashing winning tickets.
Last Week: 3-2
The Weekday Wager
Pitt @ Virginia
Friday 11/2 | 7:30PM
ATS: Virginia -7.5
Entering the season, who would have thought that in Week 10, Virginia would be contending for the ACC Coastal, let alone controlling their own destiny? This matchup boils down to two things. 1. Will Pitt be able to limit passing down situations? 2. Can Pitt stop dual-threat QB Bryce Perkins? Virginia’s defense excels in creating Havoc, starting with a strong linebackers corp. I think they do enough to force Pitt into passing downs, where we’ve seen the Panthers struggle this season. Pitt has also struggled containing rushing quarterbacks. Look for that trend to continue as Bryce Perkins has a HUGE night.
The Play: Virginia -7.5
The Main Slate
Air Force @ Army
Saturday 11/3 | 12PM
ATS: Army -6.5
24-6-1. That’s the Under’s record in Service Academy games. The triple-option keeps the clock moving, both teams know how to defend it, and pride is on the line. Hammer the under until the trend changes.
For the future, these are the games to bet at the beginning of the week. This line opened at most places around 45.5, and in some cases as high as 53. As we mentioned above, look to get the best of the number.
The Play: Under 42
Michigan St. @ Maryland
Saturday 11/3 | 12PM
ATS: Michigan St. -2.5
If you haven’t followed the D.J. Durkin timeline, here’s a brief synopsis. Durkin was put on administrative leave after the tragic death of OL Jordan McNair after conditioning drills. Two reports outlined the toxic environment Durkin created. Surprisingly, Maryland made the decision earlier this week to reinstate Durkin, prompting players to walk out of the meeting in disgust. Days later, Maryland rescinded the reinstatement and fired Durkin.
Even without taking this very emotional situation into account, stats and injury reports explain why Maryland will not only cover the spread, but win this game outright. Also everyone on Michigan St.’s Offensive Line is injured and Maryland now has tape on freshman QB Rocky Lombardi.
The Terrapins will play inspired football come Saturday afternoon and get the emotional win.
The Play: Maryland +2.5
Missouri @ Florida
Saturday 11/3 | 4PM
ATS: Florida -6
Both teams enter the week after heartbreaking losses. Missouri had no businesses losing to Kentucky, but that is what happens when you cannot get a first down in the second half. Florida’s loss to Georgia knocked them out of the SEC East race.
Despite the loss, one bright spot was Missouri’s rush defense. Kentucky rush attack was ineffective most of the night. Florida relies heavily on the run, so Missouri must contain it if they want to win this game.
On the other side of the ball, Florida loves to pressure opposing Quarterbacks and force them to make mistakes. Missouri’s Drew Lock is protected by one of the top Offensive Lines in the country.
Lock has never beaten a ranked opponent. NEVER. We aren’t asking him to do that, we just need him to keep this one close.
The Play: Missouri +6
Appalachian St. @ Coastal Carolina
Saturday 11/3 | 5PM
ATS: Appalachian St. -14.5
September 8. That’s the last time Coastal Carolina played a home game. Think about that for a second. It’s been over 50 days since their last home game. That’s a long time. These guys are PUMPED to be back at home.
Couple that with an Injury riddled Appalachian St. team, and we have ourselves a recipe for an upset. Star QB Zac Thomas is still in concussion protocol and their duo of backups combined for FOUR interceptions last week against Georgia St.
Coastal Carolina should be able to run against the Appalachian St. defense, which struggled with Georgia St.’s triple option just a week ago.
The Play: Coastal Carolina +14.5
We’ve been riding a winning streak here lately, and our pallet is becoming slightly refined from all the top shelf hooch we’ve been drinking in celebration of our ill-gotten gains. This week, let’s hope that week continues into the spirit that we all have a story about…tequila.
For the Winners: Maybe this week you hit it big. Maybe you bet the house on the underdog, and the other team’s kicker had it running down his leg for the last second field goal. Either way, you’ll looking for something special this week, and Don Julio 1942 will help you celebrate in style. Claimed by many to be the best tequila ever made, Don Julio 1942 starts out at around $150 a bottle and is aged in oak barrels for over a year. Personally, I’ve never had it…but it comes highly recommended by John Bray (and if you’ve taken his word so far, you’re doing pretty well).
For the Losers: Maybe you got cocky. Maybe you got brave. Maybe you are shamefully cowering in fear because you can’t pay your gambling debts. What better way to cheaply salve the soul than Tequila Rose. Did I say “better”? Yeah, I was kidding. This stuff will make you feel as bad as you deserve for being such a degenerate gambler. There’s also a good bet that it’ll remind you of college…or at the very least…a bachelorette party. Drink and “enjoy” you poor…my editor going to cut out the word I would like to use. Fool. We will go with fool.